01 / Court series Completed records
First to four.
Every round counts.
Liam & Owen / the court notebook
Liam leads the supplied series ledger 12–1. A deciding seventh round brought this one to the wire. Seven challenge types; one first-to-four finish. The notes, not a prediction, tell the story.
Game 7 · 2026-09-10 / session 1First to four Series ledger
13 completed series · Round wins L 50 / O 23
Entire supplied log · 2026-08-07 → 2026-09-16. Descriptive, not predictive.
Static charts and complete evidence are shown. Interactive controls require JavaScript and the local analysis data.
01 / Every finish
A season of small turning points.
Select a date to inspect that series. Each letter is a challenge winner, left to right; seven slots maximum. Dots after the clinch are not extra rounds.
● L / Liam■ O / OwenLabels and shapes accompany colour.
Filters affect this log only. All overview metrics and other charts always describe all 13 series.
Showing 13 of 13 series · log only.
| Date / session | Round winner sequence · L / O | Series result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07Session 1 ↗ | LOLLOLLOLLOL |
Liam L 4 – O 2 |
| 2026-08-08Session 1 ↗ | OOLLOOOOLLOO |
Owen L 2 – O 4 |
| 2026-09-07Session 1 ↗ | LLLLLLLL |
Liam L 4 – O 0 |
| 2026-09-07Session 2 ↗ | OLLLLOLLLL |
Liam L 4 – O 1 |
| 2026-09-10Session 1 ↗ | OLLOLOLOLLOLOL |
Liam L 4 – O 3 |
| 2026-09-10Session 2 ↗ | LLOOLLLLOOLL |
Liam L 4 – O 2 |
| 2026-09-11Session 1 ↗ | LOOLLLLOOLLL |
Liam L 4 – O 2 |
| 2026-09-11Session 2 ↗ | LLLLLLLL |
Liam L 4 – O 0 |
| 2026-09-11Session 3 ↗ | OOLLLLOOLLLL |
Liam L 4 – O 2 |
| 2026-09-13Session 1 ↗ | LLOOLLLLOOLL |
Liam L 4 – O 2 |
| 2026-09-13Session 2 ↗ | OLLOLLOLLOLL |
Liam L 4 – O 2 |
| 2026-09-16Session 1 ↗ | LLLOOLLLLOOL |
Liam L 4 – O 2 |
| 2026-09-16Session 2 ↗ | OLLLLOLLLL |
Liam L 4 – O 1 |
02 / The challenge split
Seven ways to win a round.
Observed challenge wins ÷ rounds played in that challenge. These percentages are not ability estimates. Repeated challenges, if present, count each played round.
● L / Liam■ O / OwenLabels and shapes accompany colour.
03 / Who picks next?
A choice follows a win. Not a guarantee.
Inferred picker / next-round winner. Under winner-picks-next, the previous winner is the inferred picker, not an independently recorded decision-maker. Round one has no recorded picker; there is no next choice after the clinch.
L / Liam
28 / 38 holds
73.7% observed hold rate · 10 next-round losses.
O / Owen
7 / 22 holds
31.8% observed hold rate · 15 next-round losses.
All within-series transitions
Small, selected samples; no causal picking advantage, best-choice recommendation, or implied 50% random baseline. The two player hold rates condition on different inferred pickers.
Which challenge followed which?
Matrix and choice table: all inferred pickers. Hold cards above always show the full log.
| Previous ↓ / Next → | Shooting | Bump | HORSE | Backboard | 3 Point | Rim | 1v1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Bump | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| HORSE | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Backboard | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 3 Point | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Rim | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1v1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Next-choice frequency and observed holds · keep the denominators separate
| Inferred picker / next challenge | Choice share · count/n | Observed holds · wins/n | Losses |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liam / Shooting | 0/38 · 0.0% | 0/0 · — | 0 |
| Liam / Bump | 7/38 · 18.4% | 6/7 · 85.7% | 1 |
| Liam / HORSE | 0/38 · 0.0% | 0/0 · — | 0 |
| Liam / Backboard | 12/38 · 31.6% | 10/12 · 83.3% | 2 |
| Liam / 3 Point | 7/38 · 18.4% | 4/7 · 57.1% | 3 |
| Liam / Rim | 6/38 · 15.8% | 4/6 · 66.7% | 2 |
| Liam / 1v1 | 6/38 · 15.8% | 4/6 · 66.7% | 2 |
| Owen / Shooting | 0/22 · 0.0% | 0/0 · — | 0 |
| Owen / Bump | 4/22 · 18.2% | 0/4 · 0.0% | 4 |
| Owen / HORSE | 9/22 · 40.9% | 6/9 · 66.7% | 3 |
| Owen / Backboard | 0/22 · 0.0% | 0/0 · — | 0 |
| Owen / 3 Point | 5/22 · 22.7% | 0/5 · 0.0% | 5 |
| Owen / Rim | 4/22 · 18.2% | 1/4 · 25.0% | 3 |
| Owen / 1v1 | 0/22 · 0.0% | 0/0 · — | 0 |
04 / Against the clock
Only the times that were written down.
10 recorded times / 12 played 3 Point rounds. Listed winner completion times, in seconds; lower is faster. Not shot accuracy. Best listed by player: Liam: 1:22 / Owen: 3:13.
● L / Liam■ O / OwenLabels and shapes accompany colour.
Rebounding assistance is unknown / not standardized; attempts and losing-player times are unavailable. Court metadata is never carried forward. Recorded metadata: 2026-08-07 / S1: Left Court; rim 114 inches; 2026-08-08 / S1: Left Court; rim 114 inches. All other courts and rim heights are unrecorded.
Timing evidence · all recorded, missing and unplayed entries
| Entry / date / session | Winner | Raw time | Seconds | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · 2026-08-07 / S1 | Owen | 3:35 | 215 | valid | — |
| 2 · 2026-08-08 / S1 | Owen | 3:13 | 193 | valid | — |
| 3 · 2026-09-07 / S1 | Liam | 4:56 | 296 | valid | — |
| 4 · 2026-09-07 / S2 | Liam | 1:22 | 82 | valid | — |
| 5 · 2026-09-10 / S1 | Liam | TBD | — | pending | — |
| 6 · 2026-09-10 / S2 | — | Absent | — | not-played | — |
| 7 · 2026-09-11 / S1 | Liam | 3:02 | 182 | valid | barely |
| 8 · 2026-09-11 / S2 | Liam | 2:05 | 125 | valid | — |
| 9 · 2026-09-11 / S3 | Liam | 3:45 | 225 | valid | — |
| 10 · 2026-09-13 / S1 | Liam | 2:43 | 163 | valid | — |
| 11 · 2026-09-13 / S2 | Liam | 4:54 | 294 | valid | — |
| 12 · 2026-09-16 / S1 | Owen | 5:00 | 300 | valid | — |
| 13 · 2026-09-16 / S2 | Liam | N/A | — | not-recorded | — |
05 / Inside one series
Every round leaves a mark.
A source-log walkthrough, not video or live tracking. The scoreboard here changes with the selected round; global metrics above never change.
2026-09-10 / session 1
Series note: None recorded
Round 7 of 7 · L 4 – O 3 · Final
● L / Liam■ O / OwenLabels and shapes accompany colour.
On narrow screens, scroll the plot horizontally. The source log below gives every cumulative score in text.
Final recorded round; first to four ends the series.
What happened · source round log
All rounds stay readable while scrubbing. The selected round is outlined. Raw HORSE / Bump scores have unconfirmed orientation; they are not interpreted as points or letters.
-
01
Shooting O / Owen wins
Series score: L 0 – O 1. Picker: Unrecorded · opening round.
Raw score: Not recorded · Raw time: Not applicable
Note: None recorded
-
02
HORSE L / Liam wins
Series score: L 1 – O 1. Picker: Owen (inferred from previous winner).
Raw score: Not recorded · Raw time: Not applicable
Note: None recorded
-
03
1v1 L / Liam wins
Series score: L 2 – O 1. Picker: Liam (inferred from previous winner).
Raw score: 7:3 · Raw time: Not applicable
Note: None recorded
-
04
Backboard O / Owen wins
Series score: L 2 – O 2. Picker: Liam (inferred from previous winner).
Raw score: Not recorded · Raw time: Not applicable
Note: None recorded
-
05
3 Point L / Liam wins
Series score: L 3 – O 2. Picker: Owen (inferred from previous winner).
Raw score: Not recorded · Raw time: TBD · pending
Note: None recorded
-
06
Rim O / Owen wins
Series score: L 3 – O 3. Picker: Liam (inferred from previous winner).
Raw score: Not recorded · Raw time: Not applicable
Note: None recorded
-
07
Bump L / Liam wins
Series score: L 4 – O 3. Picker: Owen (inferred from previous winner).
Raw score: 5-2 · Raw time: Not applicable
Note: None recorded
The evidence desk
The record, with its limits attached.
Source heading: Liam McGrath-Dent. Owner-supplied series notes, transcribed 2026-09-27
ISO date, then source entry order; no actual clock times
- Small-sample, within-series descriptions only; no statistical significance or ability estimates.
- There is no implied 50% random baseline: player skill may differ and selection is truncated by the clinch.
- After round one, the previous winner is only the inferred picker under winner-picks-next; actual decisions were not logged.
- Holds and losses describe observed next-round outcomes, not causal effects or a best picking strategy.
- A switch means consecutive round winners differ, not that the choice of challenge caused an outcome.
- Same-day sessions follow source entry order, not measured start times; no cross-series transition is counted.
- HORSE and Bump score mechanics and orientation are unconfirmed; raw strings are not interpreted as points or letters.
- 1v1 winner-labelled scores use a minimum of 7; a two-point shot can finish at 8. This is a rule note, not an extra match.
- 3 Point times are listed winner completion times only; attempt counts, losing times and rebounding assistance are not standardized.
- Absent courts and rim heights stay null; the August observations are not carried forward.
- Mercies and dinner obligations are unlogged and are not inferred.
- Only completed two-player first-to-four series are supported; no future wins or multiplayer extensions are projected.
Read the rules and source documents · Read the creator pitch. No mercy totals, dinner obligations, or future results are inferred.
All 12 analysis tables · CSV downloads
The analysis JSON includes preserved source games. Raw strings and timing statuses remain in the exports.